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A series of opinion pieces on, mostly climate change and related subjects to do with New Zealand.

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Coals power in Government

14/2/2017

3 Comments

 
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The big money in Australia is in coal mining and the Coalition Government of Australia is committed to preserving it at all costs even though they have signed the UN COP21 agreement to reduce emissions. They have abolished the carbon tax, reduced the climate change activity of their climate scientists and reduced activity in renewable energy as part of this plan and can not see the link between burning coal and the record breaking temperatures in Australia.

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3 Comments
Dennis Janicek link
16/2/2017 11:52:27 am

The accords of the 21th Conference of the Parties (COP21) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Paris cannot work because the «Carbon Tax» is passed to the consumer. The poor and the working class spent all their income in consumption supporting their families, so they are the main consumers. They cannot afford this tax even if they live in a rich nation.

Instead Australian coal will be exported to third world nations like China, Japan and South East Asia. As long as Australia does not burn its own coal, it is in compliance with COP21. Thus Australia export coal as a commodity with the lowest profit and the least job creation. The third world nations will export it back to Australia as differentiated goods and services with the highest profit and the most job creation.

This is called the resource curse:

«Resource Curse»
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resource_curse

Just imagine coal exports driving up the value of the Australian Dollar and pricing Australian labor out of the market. This will further damage to the poor and working class, who have little decision making in the use of Green Energy. They depend on jobs in the service industry, which does little to balance trade.

James Hansen's «Carbon Fee and Dividend» will work. Australians will pay the fee at the mine, oil well and port of entry. The money will be returned to the Australian taxpayer in the form of a dividend when they file taxes. This benefits the consumer and expands the economy. Exporting the coal to a third world nation does not cancel the fee. So if Australia has a «Carbon Fee and Dividend» and exports the coal to Malaysia, then they still pay the fee.

However, if Malaysia has a «Carbon Fee and Dividend» policy, the fee goes to Malaysia and the Malaysian taxpayer gets the dividend. So if two out of three of the major markets (China, US or European Union) have the «Carbon Fee and Dividend», all nations will enact this policy to benefit their taxpayers. This means the consumer is not hurt, who are the poor and the working class, who have little decision making in the use of Green Energy. Australia can burn its own coal making it into differentiated goods and services with the highest profit and the most job creation. It not exporting jobs to countries like Malaysia. This is very comparable to free market and has conservative support. See:

«James Hansen: emissions trading won’t work, but my global ‹carbon fee› will», 2015
https://theconversation.com/james-hansen-emissions-trading-wont-work-but-my-global-carbon-fee-will-51676

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Dennis Janicek link
16/2/2017 11:54:16 am

Australia is being led by the US. President Trump is backing out, but in a noisy way by tweets:

Donald Trump tweeted in 2012:
«The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive.»

Donald Trump tweeted in 2014:
«Snowing in Texas and Louisiana, record setting freezing temperatures throughout the country and beyond. Global warming is an expensive hoax!»

Note the binary thinking. Binary thinkers believe in either «All or Nothing». So «one exception breaks the rule». So «snowing» is an exception that breaks the rule of «Global Warming», so there is no «Global Warming». Note how the «Global Warming» alarmists are in conspiracy coming from China. China is cornering the market on equipment for «Green Technology». China's «Green Technology» causes US electricity rates to rise to make China more competitive. This means the conspiracy has no evidence (nothing), but are deceiving people. Thus «All or Nothing» is natural to people. These tweets are from:

«What could the rest of the world do if Trump pulls the US out of the Paris Agreement on climate change?», 2016
https://theconversation.com/what-could-the-rest-of-the-world-do-if-trump-pulls-the-us-out-of-the-paris-agreement-on-climate-change-68706

Barack Obama signed the Paris Agreement, but did not recognize it as a treaty – knowing that the Senate would not ratify it. So President Trump can withdrawal from the Paris Agreement by simply submitting the agreement to the Republican-controlled Senate for ratification, where it would fail.

One of Don Trump's supporters, Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) (a «conservative think tank» partially funded by the ExxonMobil Corporation) admits that there will be some warming, but fossil fuels have been burned for decades and the droughts and floods and ice cap melting exaggerated by alarmists has not happened yet. In fact, he claims the present climate models are inaccurate. Myron Ebell has named the conspiracy, the «expertaria» (so-called experts, the «Climate Industrial Complex») on the East and West Coasts of the USA. These are politically liberal regions. He also sees the «Environmental Movement» as the «greatest threat to freedom and prosperity» in the world. He also said one of the most «dangerous and insidious enemy of freedom» are the «regulatory regimes» in Europe and North America. So he recommends that the Federal Government stop funding the «Climate Industrial Complex» with taxpayer's dollars. This would change the American people to look at climate change in a more optimistic way. See:

«GWPF [Global Warming Policy Foundation] & FPA [Foreign Press Association] Press Briefing with Myron Ebell». 30 January 2017.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JvWMfAk47_Q

However, if James Hansen is right we have only experienced half the effect of CO2 being at 400 ppm due to the inertia of the oceans, atmosphere, ice caps and others. So when it stops «snowing in Texas and Louisiana», it will be too late to avoid most of the damage.

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Dennis Janicek link
23/2/2017 08:29:50 am

*Norway is opening the Arctic to oil exploration*
#arctic #global_warming #Norway

At the «World Economic Forum», central bankers like Mark Carney, the head of the UK Central Bank, were saying the vast majority of the carbon reserves are _unburnable_. See attached figure and see:

*Al Gore: The case for optimism on climate change*
http://www.ted.com/talks/al_gore_the_case_for_optimism_on_climate_change/transcript? language=en

In the transcript at 11:37 minutes:
_So the cost of the climate crisis is mounting up, there are many of these aspects I haven't even mentioned. It's an enormous burden. I'll mention just one more, because the World Economic Forum last month in Davos, after their annual survey of 750 economists, said the climate crisis is now the number one risk to the global economy. *So you get central bankers like Mark Carney, the head of the UK Central Bank, saying the vast majority of the carbon reserves are unburnable.* Subprime carbon. I'm not going to remind you what happened with subprime mortgages, but it's the same thing. If you look at all of the carbon fuels that were burned since the beginning of the industrial revolution, this is the quantity burned in the last 16 years. Here are all the ones that are proven and left on the books, 28 trillion dollars. The International Energy Agency says only this amount can be burned. *So the rest, 22 trillion dollars — unburnable.* Risk to the global economy. That's why divestment movement makes practical sense and is not just a moral imperative._

Nonetheless with the melting of the polar cap, Norway is opening the Arctic to oil exploration:
*Dear Prime Minister Solberg*, 2016
http://csas.ei.columbia.edu/2016/10/19/dear-prime-minister-solberg/

This proves that money talks -- even in a country with a high culture like Norway.

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    Bob Bingham 

    Occasional blog posts on topical news items concerning the climate.  Please click the RSS feed to receive updates.

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