http://www.climateoutcome.kiwi.nz/blog.html

Record Ocean Temperatures in Tasman sea.

6/12/2017

The water in he Tasman sea is around 4C above normal which is a big worry. So much is unknown about this type of event. Will it be there long? What effect will it have on the weather?
Currently the weather is dominated by a high pressure system so we are having a spell of warm weather but an ocean with these extreme temperature must have an effect of some kind on our islands.
Extreme drought or floods?.

6 Comments

Dennis JANICEK link

14/12/2017 04:37:26 am

*The New Normal* —

_Record Ocean Temperatures in Tasman sea_
http://www.climateoutcome.kiwi.nz/latest-posts--news/record-ocean-temperatures-in-tasman-sea
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=798524756997763&id=100005207374404

Victoria weather: Why south-east Australia is receiving a tropical deluge
ABC WEATHER KATE DOYLE AND BEN Deacon, 02-Dec-17
http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-01/why-south-east-australia-is-expecting-a-tropical-deluge/9210656?pfmredir=sm

My opinion is that we are in #globalOverHeating not #global_warming. In the last 750,000 years, the #CO2 varied between 250 and 350 ppm. Right now it is about 410 ppm and rising 1% per year (3 ppm / ~300 ppm). Substantial contributions are from climate belts moving pole-ward. This includes melting permafrost in Arctic lands and Arctic coastal shelf (much in Siberia).

Right at the museum: collections give clues on climate change, 19-Nov-17
https://theconversation.com/right-at-the-museum-collections-give-clues-on-climate-change-20067

So we are in a HAZWOPER (Hazardous Waste Operation). We need to go back to 350 ppm to get climate regions closer to the equator.

350.org
https://350.org/about/#history

So we are breaking world records of the hottest year on record every year. If last year was not the hottest year than due to year-to-year variations, mainly El Nĩno.

So the warm blob in the Tasmanian Sea could as permanent as the warm blob off the coast of Southern California, since the climate belts are moving pole-ward (southward). If the causes changes in vegetation, then this will be a positive feedback for #climateChange.

Bob Bingham

14/12/2017 07:39:33 pm

Hi Dennis. I think that all the points that you mention are very true. It may be slightly worse because the range of CO2 in past ages was between 180 ppm and 280 ppm. In the last interglacial period the CO2 reached 300 ppm and the sea level was 7 metres higher so its not a good outlook. .

Dennis JANICEK link

15/12/2017 06:38:37 am

*Luke's Prophecy*

Luke 21:25 “There will be signs in the sun, moon and stars. On the earth, nations will be in anguish and perplexity at the roaring and tossing of the sea.

[Nations do not care about seas but only sailors and sea farers do. Could be sea level rising?]

26 People will faint from terror, apprehensive of what is coming on the world, for the heavenly bodies will be shaken. 27 At that time they will see the Son of Man coming in a cloud with power and great glory.
https://www.bibleserver.com/text/NIV/Luke21%2C25-27

Bob Bristow

17/12/2017 05:14:16 pm

Indeed it is of concern and as someone who did not install any form of cooling when my house was completed at the end of the last century, a very sticky and uncomfortable start to our summer. I have been following Climate research/news etc. daily since retirement (around 2008) and it amazes me how some things cycle around, The Tasman warm blob was of interest around 2004 (but then only +1.2 °C). I occasionally watch repeats of James Burke's T.V documentaries in set somewhere in the 80s and 90's. Not too much has changed since then. We seem to still be acting rather much too slowly like headless chickens.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=3568886

Bob Bingham

18/12/2017 07:01:14 am

Hello Bob. Seeing the hot Tasman on nullschool.com shows the extreme rise in temperature but I have no idea what caused it. The big thing is, will it last long? It's making the country warmer but will it bring more rain from the moist air? We will have to wait and see.

Dennis JANICEK link

27/12/2017 06:58:00 pm

*Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise, Superstorms & Earthquakes*
#global_warming

1) This video implies faster ice melt than climate models predict.

*Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms Video Abstract*
from Climate Science Awareness Solutions (CSAS) by James Hansen.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JP-cRqCQRc8

*Transcript*
http://csas.ei.columbia.edu/2016/03/22/ice-melt-sea-level-rise-and-superstorms-the-threat-of-irreparable-harm/

2) The following links suggests earthquakes pick up when the ice is melting:

a) Since 1900, the world has been struck by seven “super-quakes,” with a magnitude exceeding 8.8. While only one of them occurred in the first half of the 20th century, three more came in the second half, and there have been three more in the past seven years, bringing death and destruction to Sumatra, Chile, and Japan.

http://e360.yale.edu/features/could_a_changing_climate_set_off_volcanoes_and_quakes

b) What we also know is that the rate of global earthquakes is not steady. For example, the rate of large earthquakes since 2004 is more than double the rate averaged over the preceding century.

Are the Japanese and Ecuador earthquakes related?
https://theconversation.com/amp/are-the-japanese-and-ecuador-earthquakes-related-57978

Bob Bingham Blog page.

Record Ocean Temperatures in Tasman sea.

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